Weather data

Polymarket Weather Data

Polymarket lists weather and temperature questions alongside its crypto and sports shelves, and they behave differently in the data: slower horizons, settlement against official readings, and books that move with forecasts rather than prints. This page covers the weather family honestly.

Figures measured as of 2026-09-24 on the published PolyOrderbooks archive.

Coverage

The weather shelf

Weather questions on the venue are typically daily or seasonal temperature and climate contracts — settle against a reading or an official index, not against a reference price. Their cadence is forecast-driven, so their books drift with model updates rather than reprinting on event ticks.

The archive's index covers the crypto and sports families deeply; weather questions sit alongside them in the catalog surface this site documents rather than in the recorded 250ms depth corpus — an honest boundary worth stating explicitly.

Data

What is available

The venue's series/tags endpoints list climate questions, and official weather feeds are the canonical reference for their resolution. A researcher studying weather prediction markets should pair the venue's own listings with the NOAA-grade source the contract names.

The honest read: the venue's weather questions are a first-class catalog item for discovery, while the recorded 250ms depth corpus specializes in the crypto families — the datasets guide keeps the layers straight.

Honest

The honest framing

Weather is a different microstructure: slow drift, official resolution, sparse depth. Any study that treats it with the crypto corpus's assumptions (250ms reprints, one-sided final minutes) will mis-measure it — the honest method is the venue's own series data plus the named official reference.

FAQ

Does Polymarket have weather markets?

Yes — temperature and climate questions with forecast-driven drift and official-reading settlement.

How do weather markets differ in data?

They move on forecast cadence and settle on official readings, unlike the reference-print reprints of crypto Up/Down.

Is weather in the 250ms corpus?

The recorded depth corpus specializes in crypto and sports; weather questions are catalog items covered by series data and official feeds.