Polymarket Reference Price Data

Reference price data is the settlement oracle: the value at the resolve second that decides each contract's outcome. For crypto Up/Down, values trace Binance-consolidated markets (correlation); thresholds and event markets use their named fixtures.

Resolution is deterministic on this feed: the outcome is a mechanical comparison, and every archived row carries the winning side — so settlement is a data relation, not an adjudication.

The recorded books carry the resolve second and outcome, and reference series align on the same UTC grid — the structure behind same-second reprice studies and the settlement corpus of thousands of resolved contracts.

The honest boundary: the archive records books and the outcomes they settled, and references the oracle's public values; it does not re-produce the oracle's proprietary feed.

Reference data is the venue's clock of truth, and studies should treat oracle-relative claims with precision: a book reprinting "in the same second as the print" is provable from this record, while "arbitrage was available" is a separate, lag-reading claim the same record can test but not assert.

• Settlement data
• Binance correlation
• Resolution explained