World Cup Markets on Polymarket

A World Cup adds a tournament layer to the venue's standard shapes: outright and qualifier lines sit beside the 372,000 over/under markets, 58,000 props, 57,000 corners/cards, and 56,000 exact-score questions that dominate the sports catalog. Group fixtures trade the standard shapes; knockout fixtures add the two-leg and outright shelf.

Outright markets are the tournament's signature datapoint — a price that runs across the whole event and settles in the final '. Both are discoverable by series and tag.

Group stage moves at ordinary fixture cadence, but knockout Saturday concentrates it: an upset goal reprints a qualifier line inside one or two 250ms frames and rotates depth across the outright ladder all evening. The recorded book carries each reprint at its exact second.

The tournament price is also where the venue's thinness appears in its extreme form — one-sided snapshots at 16.9% venue-wide concentrate in the dead zones between rounds, when the outright ladder waits for the next fixture.

The underdog opens a two-goal margin by the hour mark; the qualifier line collapses from 0.68 to 0.22 over the remaining minutes, the favorite's side of the outright ladder thins to a single deep rest, and the final whistle settles the match-winner row. Every movement is a 250ms row pair in the archive.

The next fixture's markets meanwhile open a fresh book as the settlement minute closes the old one — the archive holds both, so the transition itself is studyable.

Deep tournament books concentrate on the main event: dead-zone nights and early group fixtures trade thin, and a study of tournament prices must separate outright, qualifier, and fixture layers rather than treating them as one series. The archive's outcome columns and tags make that separation mechanical.

• Sports catalog
• Champions League
• Soccer data